Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Belper Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.1
	1.62	3.55	4.1
	1.65	3.65	4.3
	1.67	3.94	4.57
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.67	3.84	4.45
	1.63	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.4)	3.7 ↓ (4.41)	4.36 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

Belper Town
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

12.4%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belper Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ashton United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Ashton United - Belper Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ashton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Belper will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Belper could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ashton have a series of guest games.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Matlock Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3 ✺
21.02.23	Whitby Town - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Stafford Rangers - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Ashton United - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTL
- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Belper Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Belper Town	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Belper Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Radcliffe - Belper Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.09.22	Belper Town - Ashton United	0:4
20.12.14	Ashton United - Belper Town	4:3
16.08.14	Belper Town - Ashton United	2:2

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