Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Belper Town		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.5	3.4	1.89
	3.4	3.31	1.91
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.5	3.48	1.92
	3.5	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	1.9 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
26%

Draw
26.5%

Whitby Town
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.6%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

25.6%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Belper Town - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Belper has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Whitby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Whitby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Whitby have a series of home games.

Whitby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Belper won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Belper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.22	South Shields - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Belper Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Runcorn Linnets - Belper Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Marine - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Belper Town - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.22	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Warrington Rylands - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Whitby Town - Stalybridge Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.02.15	Whitby Town - Belper Town	3:3
06.09.14	Belper Town - Whitby Town	0:2

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