Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Morpeth Town		Belper Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5
	1.51	4.1	4.9
	1.54	4.37	5.18
	1.5	4.2	5.3
	1.5	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	4.2 ↑ (3.98)	5.08 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
60.3%

Draw
21.7%

Belper Town
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.8%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

14%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belper Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morpeth Town - Belper Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Morpeth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belper has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Morpeth have a series of guest games.

In this match Morpeth is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.11.22	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Nantwich Town - Morpeth Town	3:0 ✺
05.11.22	Morpeth Town - Marine	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT
- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.11.22	Belper Town - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	South Shields - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Belper Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Runcorn Linnets - Belper Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Marine - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Morpeth Town - Belper Town

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town - Belper Town Predictions

Preview

Form

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