Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Belper Town		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.52
	5	4	1.52
	6.38	4.76	1.42
	4.33	3.75	1.62
	5.1	4.1	1.53
	5	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.42)	4.06 ↑ (3.74)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belper Town
17.7%

Draw
22.4%

Gainsborough Trinity
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.3%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belper Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Belper Town - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Belper is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainsborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belper Town
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Runcorn Linnets - Belper Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	Marine - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Belper Town - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Belper Town - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
11.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Belper Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTLT
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
01.11.22	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.10.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
18.10.22	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTLW

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