Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Burgos Promesas		Atlético Palencia

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.22	3.1	2.85
	2.41	3.03	2.89
	2.36	3.16	2.89
	2.35	3	2.85
	2.34	3.34	2.92
	1.98	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	2.97 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
40.4%

Draw
29%

Atlético Palencia
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
61', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Atlético Palencia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Burgos Promesas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Burgos Promesas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burgos Promesas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Burgos CF B	8	5	2	1	13:3	10	17
5	Palencia CF	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.09.26	Burgos Promesas - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.05.26	Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLWTW
- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.09.26	Atlético Palencia - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Mirandés B - Atlético Palencia	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.06.26	Guijuelo - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ET ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
30.03.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia	1:1
10.11.24	Atlético Palencia - Burgos Promesas	0:1
07.01.24	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia	2:0

Burgos Promesas - Atlético Palencia