Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Salomon Boeseldin (Villa Ram)


	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo		9 de Julio

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.88	2.58
	2.38	2.71	2.99
	2.58	2.68	3.24	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.9
	2.29	2.85	3.18
	2.78	2.92	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.78)	2.8 ↓ (2.92)	2.9 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
36.1%

Draw
32.6%

9 de Julio
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

Def Belgrano VR has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

9 de Julio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTTL
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	9 de Julio - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	0:1
16.03.25	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1
11.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	1:1
02.06.24	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2
07.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	2:0

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