Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		Ben Hur

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	3.3
	2.05	3	3.6
	2	2.85	3.91
	2.1	2.96	3.99	Watch
	1.98	3.02	3.8
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.33)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)	3.7 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
44.5%

Draw
30.9%

Ben Hur
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

32.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.

Ben Hur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Hur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

9 de Julio - Ben Hur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fragueda F. (G) 9. Abondetto R. 3. Acuna S. 6. Androetto T. 10. Bustos J. 2. Centurion F. 8. Del Sole N. 7. Macies T. 5. Maldonado F. 4. Martinez M. 11. Ocampo L.	1. Astrada M. (G) 3. Alemandi M. 4. Benito J. 8. Bessone J. 10. Fernandez E. 7. Giacone J. 11. Jimenez S. 2. Jofre F. 6. Rouzies M. 5. Sola L. 9. Velazquez K.
Substitutes
13. Galvan G. 12. Gomez J. (G) 18. Meynier M. 14. Molinari A. 16. Peralta B. 17. Quiroz L. 15. Salcedo A.	15. Albornoz C. H. 13. Cura L. 17. Fernandez K. 12. Gonzalez G. (G) 18. Molina J. 16. Quinteros D. 14. Urquia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ocampo L. ⚽,
15', 🟨,
17', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Del Sole N. ↓, Peralta B. ↑,
73', Ocampo L. ↓, Meynier M. ↑,
76', Abondetto R. ↓, Salcedo A. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Salcedo A. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

9 de Julio has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ben Hur has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

9 de Julio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.05.25	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.05.25	Ben Hur - Douglas Haig	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ben Hur - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

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