Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Oscar C. Boero (San Francisco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSPORTS+ Plus
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Sportivo Belgrano		Ben Hur

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.4	7
	1.41	3.85	7.6	Watch
	1.41	3.92	8.23
	1.41	4.08	8.86	Watch
	1.34	4.2	8.65
	1.41	3.85	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)	3.88 ↑ (3.29)	7.99 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
65%

Draw
23.6%

Ben Hur
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

27.2%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Belgrano's performance.

Ben Hur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Sportivo Belgrano - Ben Hur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roggero S. (G) 6. Alessandria C. 9. Attis T. 11. Avaro E. 2. Camisassa B. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 5. Gimenez J. 8. Hang F. 10. Jaime J. 7. Lehmann A. 3. Pennesi T.	1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Albornoz C. H. 3. Alemandi M. 4. Benito J. 8. Bessone J. 2. Cura L. 10. Fernandez E. 9. Giacone J. 11. Jimenez S. 6. Sola L. 7. Urquia L.
Substitutes
13. Coceres G. 15. Cortizo P. 18. Flores L. 16. Franco D. 12. Martina L. (G) 14. Rouiller T. 17. Salas L.	15. Bircher J. 14. Contrera R. 17. Fernandez K. 18. Molina J. 16. Quinteros D. 12. Rivadeneira F. (G) 13. Velazquez K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Alessandria C. 🟨,
37', Bessone J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Camisassa B. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
64', Camisassa B. ↓, Coceres G. ↑,
75', Pennesi T. ↓, Salas L. ↑,
75', Jaime J. ↓, Cortizo P. ↑,
81', Lehmann A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
81', Gimenez J. ↓, Franco D. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Sportivo Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ben Hur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Sportivo Belgrano will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWWLW
- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Ben Hur - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	9 de Julio - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ben Hur - Douglas Haig	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.03.25	Ben Hur - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1

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