Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.85
	1.22	5.62	13.33	Watch
	2.42	3.22	2.64
	2.3	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.5)	3.72 ↑ (3.2)	5.39 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
51.8%

Draw
28.5%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Hur's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Hur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 6. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 3. Contrera R. 2. Cura L. 7. Fernandez E. 10. Jimenez S. 9. Molina J. 11. Quinteros D. 5. Sola L. 4. Urquia L.	1. Etcheverry B. (G) 8. Altamirano L. 2. Benitez J. 9. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 10. Favre A. 11. Garcia A. 7. Germanier N. 6. Gomez N. 5. Hofstetter P. J. 3. Suarez N.
Substitutes
14. Alberto J. 15. Asteggiano T. 16. Bessone B. 19. Comba G. 17. Ferreyra B. 12. Gonzalez G. (G) 18. Ojeda L. 13. Taborda I. 20. Velazquez K.	18. Baltore D. 15. Basualdo L. 14. Bochatay 12. Bravo P. (G) 17. Cima F. 16. Gonzalez A. 20. Mainero A. 19. Malimberni S. 13. Sanchez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Fernandez E. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Quinteros D. ⚽,
27', Contrera R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez E. ↓, Comba G. ↑,
46', Bogado M. ↓, Mainero A. ↑,
63', Urquia L. ↓, Taborda I. ↑,
64', Baltore D. 🟨,
80', Casares J. ↓, Basualdo L. ↑,
80', Altamirano L. ↓, Malimberni S. ↑,
82', Jimenez S. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
86', Bessone J. 🟨,

Preview

Ben Hur is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia y Esgrima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia y Esgrima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ben Hur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ben Hur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Ben Hur	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ben Hur - Sol de América de Formosa	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Ben Hur	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Ben Hur - Crucero del Norte	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Ben Hur	2:0
20.04.25	Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0

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