Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		Crucero del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.52	3.5	5.7	Watch
	1.53	3.41	6.29
	1.57	3.62	6.14	Watch
	1.55	3.54	5.83
	1.56	3.79	5.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	3.59 ↓ (3.75)	5.63 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
58.6%

Draw
25.3%

Crucero del Norte
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

20.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Hur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ben Hur - Crucero del Norte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 3. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 6. Cura L. 7. Fernandez E. 11. Giacone J. 10. Jimenez S. 2. Jofre F. 9. Molina J. 5. Sola L. 4. Urquia L.	1. Colli J. (G) 2. Aguilar J. 11. Alvarez E. 3. Canzoniero L. 7. de Olivera P. 6. Duarte C. 9. Penazola J. 4. Rotela F. 10. Sequeyra J. 5. Silva L. 8. Vera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Sequeyra J. 🟨,
19', Jofre F. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Giacone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Molina J. ⚽,
70', Urquia L. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Giacone J. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Alvarez E. ⚽,

Preview

No spectators.

Ben Hur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crucero del Norte is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ben Hur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ben Hur is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.08.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Ben Hur - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Boca Unidos - Ben Hur	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Ben Hur - 9 de Julio	9 de Julio Rafaela awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLT?
- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.08.25	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Crucero del Norte	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:3 ✺
20.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLTT

Ben Hur - Crucero del Norte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide