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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 46.7%
Draw 30%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
30.1%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
29.6%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
5. Altamirano L. 1. Baro R. 4. Casares J. 8. Favre A. 11. Garcia A. 10. Germanier N. 3. Gomez N. 6. Laumann F. 2. Palladino T. 7. Rodriguez J. 9. Sonzogni A.
1. Vizgarra K. (G) 2. Avalos J. 10. Bacas T. 6. Broglia M. 4. Cabrera U. 5. Duarte K. 7. Luna E. 11. Marnini N. 8. Medina G. 3. Pezzani F. 9. Tuset M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,
68', 🟨,
81', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1.
Gimnasia y Esgrima is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Def Belgrano VR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gimnasia y Esgrima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gimnasia y Esgrima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).