Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Benevento		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.65	3	2.75
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.85	3.16	2.78
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.78	3.02	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.5)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.67 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
34.9%

Draw
30.1%

Cagliari
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	61.8%	17.6%

Benevento - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 61.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Benevento has the most likely position - 1 (10.79%), has project points - 60, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 1 (16.48%), has project points - 63, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a chance of win league (16%).

This event has quality 42, importance 54, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Benevento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cagliari is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Venezia - Benevento	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Benevento - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Genoa - Benevento	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Benevento - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
08.08.22	Genoa - Benevento	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTLL
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.09.22	Cagliari - Modena	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	SPAL - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Cagliari - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Como - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.08.22	Cagliari - Perugia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.05.21	Benevento - Cagliari	1:3
06.01.21	Cagliari - Benevento	1:2
18.03.18	Benevento - Cagliari	1:2
25.10.17	Cagliari - Benevento	2:1

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