Match Info

Serie A - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Lazio		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	6	Watch
	1.68	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.56	4.09	5.97	Watch
	1.68	3.91	6.13
	1.6	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	3.83 ↓ (3.98)	5.9 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
58.8%

Draw
25%

Cagliari
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.8%	9.2%	16.9%

Lazio - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 48 - 73.8%). Cagliari will win (votes: 11 - 16.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 63.1% – 84.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Cagliari (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lazio (2.11) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 13 - 65%). Cagliari (votes: 6 - 30%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 77. Marusic A. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Palestra M. 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 28. Zappa G. (C) 8. Adopo M. 16. Prati M. 90. Folorunsho M. 10. Gaetano G. 94. Esposito Se. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 25. Provstgaard O. 5. Vecino M.	21. Cavuoti N. 18. Di Pardo A. 17. Felici M. 3. Idrissi R. 9. Kilicsoy S. 77. Luvumbo Z. 4. Mazzitelli L. 30. Pavoletti L. 32. Pedro J. 31. Radunovic B. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 34. Sarno V. (G)
Coaches
Sarri M.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Romagnoli A. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
47', Gaetano G. 🟨,
57', Gaetano G. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
59', Felici M. 🟨,
62', Basic T. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Isaksen G. ⚽, Guendouzi M. (A),
69', Esposito Se. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
69', Borrelli G. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
73', Lazzari M. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
79', Palestra M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
80', Folorunsho M. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
84', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
84', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Zaccagni M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5.

Lazio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cagliari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lazio is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (Hamstring Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Tavares N. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Ciocci G. (Ankle Injury) Deiola A. (Thigh Injury) Liteta J. (Thigh Injury) Obert A. (Yellow Cards) Pintus N. (Thigh Injury) Rog M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 17 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 45:15. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
30.10.25	Pisa - Lazio	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTTW
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
30.10.25	Cagliari - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Verona - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.02.25	Cagliari - Lazio	1:2
04.11.24	Lazio - Cagliari	2:1
10.02.24	Cagliari - Lazio	1:3
02.12.23	Lazio - Cagliari	1:0
05.03.22	Cagliari - Lazio	0:3
19.09.21	Lazio - Cagliari	2:2
07.02.21	Lazio - Cagliari	1:0

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