The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPAL 34.3%
Draw 28.5%
Cagliari 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
30.2%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16%
48%
36%
SPAL - Cagliari Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Cagliari will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% โ 67.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (7.35%), has project points - 46, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Cagliari has the most likely position - 1 (19.93%), has project points - 65, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a chance of promoted (44%), has a chance of win league (20%).
This event has quality36, importance41, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0.
Recent matches SPAL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cagliari is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-16.
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
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