Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	FIFA+


	Benevento		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.5	3.95
	1.81	3.69	4.47
	1.88	3.52	4	Watch
	1.86	3.62	4.21
	1.85	3.5	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.79)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	4.13 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
51%

Draw
26.5%

Juventus U23
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

28.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Benevento - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Manfredini N. (G) 18. Simonetti P. 20. Berra F. (C) 96. Capellini R. 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A. 4. Prisco A. 73. Lamesta D. 14. Pinato M. 7. Starita E. 33. Perlingieri M.	30. Daffara G. (G) 46. Turicchia R. 23. Scaglia F. 34. Turco S. 99. Pietrelli A. 6. Comenencia L. 5. Macca F. 73. Faticanti G. 11. Cudrig N. 17. Guerra S. (C) 3. Afena-Gyan F.
Substitutes
17. Acampora G. 21. Agazzi D. 28. Borello G. 32. Ferrara A. 10. Lanini E. 68. Lucatelli I. (G) 9. Manconi J. 6. Meccariello B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 27. Oukhadda S. 25. Viscardi A. 24. Viviani M.	16. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 44. Deme S. 1. Garofani G. (G) 9. Mancini T. 28. Owusu A. 74. Papadopoulos C. 13. Poli F. 31. Puczka D. 77. Quattrocchi G. 25. Scaglia S. (G) 79. Semedo L. 40. Villa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', Pietrelli A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Pietrelli A. ⚽,
18', Berra F. 🟥,
23', Starita E. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
27', Prisco A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Cudrig N. ⚽,
44', Sena F. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 3, Guerra S. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Perlingieri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lamesta D. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
57', 1 - 4, Guerra S. ⚽,
60', Simonetti P. 🟨,
62', Pietrelli A. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
62', Perlingieri M. ↓, Manconi J. ↑,
63', Sena F. ↓, Oukhadda S. ↑,
73', 1 - 5, Cudrig N. ⚽,
75', Guerra S. ↓, Amaradio L. ↑,
75', Afena-Gyan F. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
75', Pinato M. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
83', Turco S. ↓, Poli F. ↑,
83', Faticanti G. ↓, Owusu A. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Benevento is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Benevento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Giugliano - Benevento	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Benevento - Trapani	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Audace Cerignola - Benevento	2:4 ✺
30.03.25	Avellino - Benevento	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Benevento - Picerno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLT
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	ACR Messina - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Juventus U23 - Cavese	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Juventus U23 - Crotone	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Juventus U23 - Foggia	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Latina - Juventus U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
09.02.25	Juventus U23 - Benevento	2:0
30.09.24	Benevento - Juventus U23	4:1

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