Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 37

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro (Giugliano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Giugliano		Benevento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.5	2.98	Watch
	2.39	3.67	2.84
	1.96	3.59	3.34	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.44	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (4.46)	3.5 ↓ (3.66)	2.97 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
42.4%

Draw
26.4%

Benevento
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

25.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.7%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giugliano's performance.

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benevento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giugliano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benevento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Giugliano - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Giugliano will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Benevento will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giugliano: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Greco S. (G) 15. D'Avino L. 24. Caldore M. 5. Pedro Justiniano 20. Cester S. 4. Zammarini R. 6. Broh J. 14. Vaglica G. 70. D'Agostino G. 31. Murilo 32. Balde I.	22. Esposito M. (G) 13. Celia R. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 25. Romano R. 56. Kouan C. 4. Prisco A. 7. Carfora L. 93. Tumminello M. 99. Della Morte M. 32. Mignani G.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 43. Bozza M. 95. Caiazza F. 8. De Rosa R. 71. Giordano N. 9. Isaac Prado 33. La Vardera S. 25. Minei A. 90. Ogunseye R. 3. Panico C. 44. Peluso L. 29. Salvatore C. 12. Santarelli L. (G) 69. Volpe G.	19. Borghini D. 20. Ceresoli A. 28. Del Gaudio M. 80. Donatiello M. 21. Giugliano M. 11. Lamesta D. 10. Manconi J. . Mandato F. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 1. Russo D. (G) 9. Salvemini F. 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
40', Ogunseye R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Broh J. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
55', Murilo ↓, D'Agostino G. ↑,
70', Mignani G. ↓, Salvemini F. ↑,
70', Celia R. ↓, Ceresoli A. ↑,
70', Starita E. ↓, Lamesta D. ↑,
72', Balde I. 🟨,
77', Vaglica G. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
90', Tumminello M. ↓, Del Gaudio M. ↑,
90', Della Morte M. ↓, Borghini D. ↑,
90+12', 1 - 1, Volpe G. ⚽,
90+14', Volpe G. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Giugliano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Giugliano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Benevento - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.04.26	Altamura - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Giugliano - Crotone	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Casarano - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Giugliano - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLW
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
13.04.26	Benevento - Cavese	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Salernitana - Benevento	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Benevento - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Monopoli - Benevento	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Benevento - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.12.25	Benevento - Giugliano	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Giugliano - Benevento	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Giugliano - Benevento	1:2
14.12.24	Benevento - Giugliano	0:1
16.03.24	Giugliano - Benevento	1:2
13.11.23	Benevento - Giugliano	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Benevento - Giugliano	2:3 penalties

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