The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audace Cerignola 22.6%
Draw 28.4%
Benevento 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
27.3%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
27.5%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audace Cerignola's form might have worsened.
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benevento's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Audace Cerignola - Benevento Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Benevento will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 23. Gasbarro A. 5. Martinelli L. 99. Parlato C. 58. Cretella C. 4. Vitale G. 10. Paolucci L. 3. Russo L. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. 4. Prisco A. 11. Lamesta D. 10. Manconi J. 18. Simonetti P. 93. Tumminello M.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. 45. Cocorocchio M. 29. Cuppone L. 7. Dabizas A. 22. Fares G. (G) 19. Giuliodori G. 1. Greco S. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 15. Ligi A. 20. Miguel Angel 24. Moreso O. 12. Rizzuto A. (G) 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.
19. Borghini D. 29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 42. D'Alessio L. (G) 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 6. Viscardi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Simonetti P. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Manconi J. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Lamesta D. ⚽,
39', Simonetti P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Vannucchi G. 🟨,
63', Gambale D. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
63', Paolucci L. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
63', Gasbarro A. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
72', D'Orazio L. ↓, Cuppone L. ↑,
72', Ceresoli A. ↓, Borghini D. ↑,
72', Lamesta D. ↓, Talia A. ↑,
73', Prisco A. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
80', Simonetti P. ↓, Romano R. ↑,
83', Manconi J. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
83', Russo L. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
85', 0 - 4, Mignani G. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Audace Cerignola has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Benevento is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Benevento might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Italy
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Iliev V. (G) 
Todisco G. 
Dabizas A. 
Giuliodori G. 
Miguel Angel 
Mehic D. 
