The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 59.5%
Draw 24.2%
Trapani 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
26.2%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
25.2%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.
Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trapani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trapani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - Trapani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 19. Borghini D. 77. Pierozzi E. 8. Maita M. (C) 4. Prisco A. 20. Ceresoli A. 11. Lamesta D. 9. Salvemini F. 10. Manconi J.
12. Galeotti C. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 31. Pirrello R. 5. Stramaccioni D. 33. Benedetti A. 37. Palmieri R. 20. Carriero G. 47. Di Noia G. 11. Ciuferri F. 21. Fischnaller M. 10. Canotto L.
Substitutes
29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 31. Ricci G. 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 12. Suppa M. (G) 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M.
8. Celeghin E. 99. Ciotti P. 39. Grandolfo F. 17. La Sorsa C. 74. Marcolini D. 23. Motoc A. 34. Negro S. 27. Podrini F. 13. Salines E. 24. Sposito A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Manconi J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Pierozzi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Palmieri R. ↓, Celeghin E. ↑,
46', Carriero G. ↓, Grandolfo F. ↑,
50', Borghini D. 🟨,
66', Borghini D. ↓, Romano R. ↑,
66', Manconi J. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
68', Ciuferri F. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
74', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
74', Prisco A. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
82', Canotto L. ↓, Ciotti P. ↑,
82', Vannucchi G. 🟨,
84', Negro S. 🟨,
85', Lamesta D. ↓, Talia A. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Trapani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Benevento is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Italy
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Vannucchi G. (G) 
Kirwan N. 
Mehic D. 
Tsingaras A. 
Motoc A. 
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