Match Info

Date: 2 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV


	Benfica		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	9	Watch
	1.29	5.75	9.75
	1.27	5.75	11
	1.29	5.4	9.2
	1.27	6.1	10.8
	1.29	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.27	6	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	5.71 ↑ (5)	9.96 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
73.9%

Draw
16.6%

Midtjylland
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

18.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.1%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.1%	10.4%	10.4%

Benfica - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (91 of 115 users predict this - 79.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.7% – 86.56%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Benfica in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Midtjylland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

In this match Benfica is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Benfica - Newcastle United	3:2 ✺
22.07.22	Benfica - Girona	4:2 ✺
17.07.22	Benfica - Fulham	5:1 ✺
15.07.22	Benfica - Nice	3:0 ✺
09.07.22	Reading - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
29.07.22	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	AEK Larnaca - Midtjylland	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
22.07.22	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Midtjylland - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
15.07.22	Midtjylland - Randers FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTT

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