The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 73.1%
Draw 17%
Nice 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.1%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
22.5%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.4%
10.8%
10.8%
Benfica - Nice Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Benfica (1.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH +1 - Nice (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(57 of 73 users predict this - 78.08%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.59% – 87.57%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (30 of 39 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 31 - 73.8%). Nice (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 21. Schjelderup A. 9. Ivanovic F. 14. Pavlidis V.
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Juma Bah A. 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 20. Louchet T. 39. Coulibaly D. 26. Bard M. (C) 19. Bouanani B. 9. Moffi T. 21. Jansson I.
Substitutes
7. Akturkoglu K. 39. Araujo H. 18. Barreiro L. 61. Florentino 47. Gouveia T. 3. Obrador R. 64. Oliveira G. 25. Prestianni G. 86. Prioste D. 71. Santos L. 24. Soares S. (G) 68. Veloso J.
23. Bernardeau G. 7. Boga J. 14. Brahimi B. 50. Bruyere T. (G) 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 36. Koutoune H. 48. Monteiro L. 49. Nguene B.
Coaches
Lage B.
Haise F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Aursnes F. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
33', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Coulibaly D. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
63', Barrenechea E. ↓, Florentino ↑,
63', Ivanovic F. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
64', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
65', Clauss J. 🟨,
73', Clauss J. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,
73', Jansson I. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
73', Bouanani B. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
81', Pavlidis V. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
82', Moffi T. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
84', Aursnes F. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
90+2', Prestianni G. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Portugal
United-kingdom
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Trubin A. (G) 
Dedic A. 
Silva A. 
Otamendi N. (C) 
Dahl S. 
Aursnes F. 
Rios R. 
Ivanovic F. 
Pavlidis V. 
Diouf Y. (G) 
Juma Bah A. 
Peprah K. 
Clauss J. 
Bouanani B. 
Moffi T. 
Akturkoglu K. 
Barreiro L. 
Obrador R. 
Boga J. 
Diop S. 
Nguene B. 
