The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica B 55.7%
Draw 24.1%
Penafiel 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
24.3%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
23.3%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Benfica B - Penafiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica B will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 6 - 75%). Penafiel (votes: 2 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Ribeiro R. (G) 71. Santos L. 94. Silva R. 69. Ndembi M. 89. Parente T. 86. Prioste D. (C) 95. de Sousa T. 77. Moreira G. 67. Rego R. 96. Trevisan J. 74. Tome O.
32. Femenias J. (G) 22. Xico 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 21. Pedro Sa 88. Alves R. 8. Reko 14. Pereira B. 19. Alcaina R. 20. Santos A.
Substitutes
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 99. Fernandes E. 85. Ferreira M. 73. Figueiredo M. 88. Freitas T. 97. Melro J. 79. Pinto K. 91. Silva F. 80. Sobral G. (G)
75. Alloh T. 31. Balde M. (G) 37. Davo 3. Gustavo Fernandes 61. Injai M. 17. Kebe I. 95. Sery J. 10. Silva J. 7. Vieira P.
Coaches
Verissimo N.
Aira J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Ndembi M. 🟨,
39', Santos L. 🟨,
42', Alcaina R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Tome O. 🟨,
61', Tome O. ↓, Fernandes E. ↑,
61', Negrao G. ↓, Davo ↑,
61', Rego R. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
61', Trevisan J. ↓, Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↑,
64', Parente T. 🟨,
67', Parente T. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Reko (Pen),
74', 0 - 2, Alcaina R. ⚽,
76', Prioste D. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
76', Alcaina R. ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
76', Alves R. ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
85', Ndembi M. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
86', Pedro Sa ↓, Injai M. ↑,
86', Santos A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 3.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Benfica B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Benfica B is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).