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Current Win Probability
Penafiel 25.5%
Draw 28.2%
Felgueiras 46.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.1%
28.1%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
27.7%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.
Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Penafiel - Felgueiras Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Felgueiras (4.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Femenias J. (G) 5. Sanchez J. 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 21. Pedro Sa 88. Alves R. 8. Reko 14. Pereira B. 19. Alcaina R. 20. Santos A.
13. Figueiredo C. (G) 61. Eiro 44. Junior M. 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 18. Pereira G. (C) 6. Martins H. 78. Moreira V. 14. Jean-Marie M. 19. Lucas Duarte 9. Santos Teixeira L.
Substitutes
75. Alloh T. 37. Davo 3. Gustavo Fernandes 17. Kebe I. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 95. Sery J. 10. Silva J. 7. Vieira P. 22. Xico
20. Berna 33. Dario 4. Eduardo 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 30. Feliz 21. Jean Felipe 10. Michel Costa 7. Viondi M. 12. Zangre A.
Coaches
Russiano P.
Bento A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Sanchez J. 🟨,
4', Pereira G. 🟨,
36', Silva A. 🟨,
39', Santos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Xico ↑,
58', Negrao G. ↓, Davo ↑,
62', Santos Teixeira L. ↓, Feliz ↑,
62', Lucas Duarte ↓, Viondi M. ↑,
65', Eiro 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Santos A. ⚽,
70', Pereira G. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
70', Eiro ↓, Jean Felipe ↑,
71', Alves R. ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
72', Pedro Sa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
78', Reko 🟨,
82', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Davo ⚽,
90+1', Martins H. ↓, Dario ↑,
90+4', Kebe I. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).
Penafiel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Felgueiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Felgueiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Portugal
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Femenias J. (G) 
Miguel J. (C) 
Junior M. 
Lucas Duarte 
Alloh T. 
Kebe I. 
Berna 
Zangre A. 
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