Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Portugal	Benfica TV


	Benfica B		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3.3	3.1
	2.35	3.25	3.31
	2.31	3.14	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.25	3.32	3.13
	2.25	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.13)	3.24 ↓ (3.41)	3.1 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
41.4%

Draw
28.7%

Tondela
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Benfica B - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gomes A. (G) 82. Spencer D. 76. Gustavo Marques 66. Wynder J. 78. Kiko (C) 86. Prioste D. 60. Felix N. 84. Rego J. 79. Felix H. 77. Sousa G. 89. Varela G.	31. Bernardo (G) 48. Manso T. 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 18. Talocha 8. Tavares H. 97. Cicero 2. Bebeto 11. Costinha 21. Maranhao 9. Miro
Substitutes
99. Farias L. 55. Fonseca J. 90. Lima I. 83. Luis R. 97. Melro J. 72. Okon-Engstler P. 71. Santos L. 92. Souza P. (G) 68. Veloso J.	23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 26. Cunha N. 60. Maviram E. 70. Moudjatovic M. 4. Pola J. 30. Ramos R. 1. Souza G. (G) 7. Xavier
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Maranhao 🟨,
20', Tavares H. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Sousa G. ⚽, Rego J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', Kiko 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Maranhao ⚽, Afonso J. (A),
57', Kiko 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Bebeto ⚽,
61', Tavares H. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
61', Talocha ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
62', Alves R. 🟨,
63', Felix H. ↓, Santos L. ↑,
71', Varela G. ↓, Farias L. ↑,
71', Felix N. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
74', Costinha ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
78', Miro 🟨,
79', Manso T. 🟨,
80', Rego J. ↓, Luis R. ↑,
80', Spencer D. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
90', Maranhao ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
90', Manso T. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Ceitil A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Benfica B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
English Premier League International Cup
17.10.24	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.10.24	Benfica B - Chaves	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
24.09.24	West Ham United U21 - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWTT
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Tondela - Leixões	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Os Marialvas - Tondela	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Mafra - Tondela	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.04.24	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1
17.12.23	Benfica B - Tondela	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Benfica B - Tondela	3:0
Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.23	Benfica B - Tondela	2:1
12.08.22	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1
15.04.15	Tondela - Benfica B	2:1
29.11.14	Benfica B - Tondela	0:2

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