Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Torreense		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.75
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.4	3.2	2.9
	2.5	3.15	3.13
	2.45	3.04	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.45	3.08	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
38.6%

Draw
29.8%

Tondela
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Torreense - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 4. Ne Lopes 5. Lomboto J. 2. Stopira 22. Daniel Bolt 30. Balanta J. (C) 90. Costa D. 8. Leo Silva 23. Vazquez J. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Pozo M.	31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 60. Maviram E. 8. Tavares H. 97. Cicero 48. Manso T. 30. Ramos R. 21. Maranhao 17. Roberto
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 75. Jean-Marie M. 39. Leandro Matheus (G) 77. Luccas Paraizo 13. Matos T. 72. Oliveira V. 6. Pinto R. 20. Pite 7. Rebelo M.	23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 11. Costinha 26. Cunha N. 9. Miro 70. Moudjatovic M. 4. Pola J. 1. Souza G. (G) 18. Talocha
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Manso T. ⚽, Maviram E. (A),
40', Stopira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Costa D. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
62', Stopira ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
68', Pozo M. ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
69', Ramos R. ↓, Talocha ↑,
69', Maviram E. ↓, Costinha ↑,
76', Agbor B. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Roberto (Pen),
79', Tavares H. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
87', Balanta J. 🟨,
88', Thomsen T. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
88', Agbor B. ↓, Pite ↑,
88', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
88', Maranhao ↓, Pola J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1.

Torreense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tondela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
28.09.24	Chaves - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Torreense	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.24	Torreense - Portimonense	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Vizela - Torreense	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
28.09.24	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Os Marialvas - Tondela	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Mafra - Tondela	0:4 ✺
31.08.24	Tondela - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Penafiel - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:1
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Torreense - Tondela	1:2 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:2
04.03.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
24.11.22	Tondela - Torreense	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	Torreense - Tondela	0:3

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