Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Mafra		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.4	3.2	2.9
	2.52	3.13	3.08
	2.49	3.03	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.44	3.24	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.49)	3.11 ↑ (3.01)	2.89 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mafra
38.3%

Draw
29.7%

Tondela
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

32.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Mafra - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tondela will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 2. Texel P. 4. Passi B. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 5. Beni D. 20. Maiga Y. 3. Chriso (C) 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Nibe A. 10. Fale M. 90. Etim F.	31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 60. Maviram E. 97. Cicero 8. Tavares H. 7. Xavier 30. Ramos R. 21. Maranhao 17. Roberto
Substitutes
18. Fabinho 80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 6. Pereira P. 21. Precatado J. 39. Souza A.	6. Ceitil A. 26. Cunha N. 20. Fuller T. 48. Manso T. 9. Miro 70. Moudjatovic M. 4. Pola J. 1. Souza G. (G) 18. Talocha
Coaches
Vaz Pinto C.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Maranhao ⚽,
39', Beni D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', Iheanacho S. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
64', Nibe A. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Roberto ⚽, Ramos R. (A),
79', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
79', Cicero ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Miro ⚽,
83', Maiga Y. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
85', Xavier ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
90+2', Maranhao ↓, Manso T. ↑,
90+2', Ramos R. ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.09.24	Chaves - Mafra	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Mafra - Portimonense	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Oliveirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Mafra - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Caldas - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTLW
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.24	Tondela - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Penafiel - Tondela	2:2 ✺
19.08.24	Tondela - Porto B	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Leiria - Tondela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.24	Mafra - Tondela	1:3
16.09.23	Tondela - Mafra	2:1
19.03.23	Tondela - Mafra	1:2
09.10.22	Mafra - Tondela	1:1
Taça de Portugal
20.04.22	Mafra - Tondela	1:1
03.03.22	Tondela - Mafra	3:0

Upcoming Matches