The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bentín Tacna Heroica 62.7%
Draw 22%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 15.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.5%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bentín Tacna Heroica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bentín Tacna Heroica's performance.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bentín Tacna Heroica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bentín Tacna Heroica - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Montalvo D. (G) 15. Aragon F. 2. Benavente R. 10. Garcia J. 6. Leon P. 14. Loayza G. 8. Lopez J. 21. Lopez M. 4. Pena E. 26. Rodriguez K. 18. Ventura C.
23. Mosquera C. (G) 15. Angulo T. 18. Cuero J. 27. Cuneo O. 30. Ortega F. 6. Palomino R. 47. Ramirez S. 10. Sernaque J. 16. Valverde M. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 9. Zeta H.
Substitutes
3. Alvarado D. 11. Espinoza A. 29. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 27. Linares J. 28. Mendoza J. 7. Palomino K. 5. Ricra D. 1. Sotillo M. (G)
99. Alvirena J. 7. Casquete A. 12. Diaz W. (G) 19. Dominguez J. 32. Flores A. 29. Labrin V. 4. Mogollon E. 67. Paico K. 14. Rengifo S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Leon P. 🟨,
20', 🟨,
33', Mosquera C. ↓, Diaz W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Valverde M. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
73', Loayza G. ↓, Espinoza A. ↑,
74', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Rengifo S. ↑,
76', Angulo T. ↓, Alvirena J. ↑,
80', Cuneo O. 🟨,
86', Lopez J. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
86', Benavente R. ↓, Alvarado D. ↑,
90+12', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
Preview
In recent outings, Tacna Heroica has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alianza Universidad is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Alianza Universidad may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Tacna Heroica carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tacna Heroica has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tacna Heroica against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.
Watch
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Montalvo D. (G) 
Lopez M. 
Mosquera C. (G) 
Casquete A. 
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