Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Basadre (Tacna)


	Bentín Tacna Heroica		Estudiantil CNI

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.05	4.1
	1.94	3.16	4.21	Watch
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.86	3.08	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.58)	3.08 ↓ (3.77)	4 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentín Tacna Heroica
47.7%

Draw
29.5%

Estudiantil CNI
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

23.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bentín Tacna Heroica's form might have worsened.

Estudiantil CNI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bentín Tacna Heroica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantil CNI than the current prediction. (-4%)

Bentín Tacna Heroica - Estudiantil CNI Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sotillo M. (G) 15. Aragon F. 30. Fajardo J. (C) 17. Flores K. 16. Inga J. 14. Loayza G. 21. Lopez M. 28. Mendoza J. 7. Palomino K. 24. Perez A. 18. Ventura C.	1. Stein A. (G) 15. Aponte K. 20. Cuadros D. 88. Garcia J. 10. Labrin P. 29. Martinez J. 28. Neyra J. 8. Quina N. (C) 11. Santillan Vargas E. M. 38. Torres J. 3. Villalta M.
Substitutes
2. Benavente R. 29. Duque J. 20. Garcia A. 10. Garcia J. 19. Lopez F. 12. Montalvo D. (G) 4. Pena E. 5. Ricra D. 9. Velazquez J. I.	13. Diaz L. 77. Lasso C. 21. Mendez P. 2. Oliveira R. 14. Temoche D. 9. Torres E. 44. Vasquez E. (G) 24. Vega R. 30. Ynuma P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Palomino K. ⚽,
20', Fajardo J. 🟨,
29', Lopez M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Santillan Vargas E. M. ⚽,
42', Quina N. 🟨,
42', Mendoza J. 🟨,
45+3', Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aragon F. ↓, Benavente R. ↑,
46', Loayza G. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
60', Perez A. ↓, Velazquez J. I. ↑,
72', Garcia J. ↓, Lasso C. ↑,
75', Mendoza J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
81', Neyra J. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
81', Palomino K. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
81', Cuadros D. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
90+1', Santillan Vargas E. M. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ))

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tacna Heroica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tacna Heroica is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
16.05.26	Santos - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Sport Huancayo 2 - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ayacucho - Bentín Tacna Heroica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTW
- CD Estudiantil CNI
Peruvian Liga 2
23.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Santos	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Estudiantil CNI	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Sport Huancayo 2	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Estudiantil CNI - Ayacucho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWTL

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