Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 3

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Max Augustin (Iquitos)


	Comerciantes Belén		Estudiantil CNI

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.52	4.15	5.5
	2.56	3.77	2.2
	2.33	4.41	2.42
	2.5	3.7	2.17
	2.49	3.38	2.41	Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.42)	3.87 ↓ (4.48)	3.66 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
47.8%

Draw
25.4%

Estudiantil CNI
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.6%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

19.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Belén's form might have worsened.

Estudiantil CNI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantil CNI's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantil CNI than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantil CNI, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Estudiantil CNI will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Estudiantil CNI (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantil CNI (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Comerciantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Estudiantil CNI has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Comerciantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Comerciantes is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comerciantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
20.06.26	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
22.05.26	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Unión Minas - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWT
- CD Estudiantil CNI
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
21.06.26	Estudiantil CNI - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
30.05.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Estudiantil CNI	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Santos	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Estudiantil CNI	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Sport Huancayo 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
03.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	1:1

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