Match Info

Primera C - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Berazategui		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.6	3.4	5.15	Watch
	1.59	3.42	5.19
	1.64	3.33	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.63	3.54	5.72
	1.63	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	5.17 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berazategui
55.5%

Draw
27%

Lugano
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Berazategui - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Hernandez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Fernandez G. D. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Berazategui has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lugano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Berazategui has had a series of away games.

In this match, Berazategui is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Berazategui won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Berazategui won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
26.04.26	Berazategui - Victoriano Arenas	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Fénix - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Centro Español - Berazategui	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mercedes - Berazategui	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTWT
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
25.04.26	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Club Luján - Lugano	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
20.07.25	Berazategui - Lugano	3:0
05.04.25	Lugano - Berazategui	2:0
11.09.24	Lugano - Berazategui	1:3
10.04.24	Berazategui - Lugano	2:2

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