Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	4.95
	1.6	4.02	4.99
	1.21	5.71	12.59	Watch
	1.63	3.68	5.13
	1.65	3.65	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	4.15 ↑ (3.65)	6.39 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
62.2%

Draw
22.9%

Burgos Promesas
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.6%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bergantiños's performance.

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergantiños that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Koke ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Marcos P. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Cerro I. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Martinez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 3 - 2, Saez M. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Barck A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Bergantiños is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Burgos Promesas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bergantiños is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bergantiños won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Coruxo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLTW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Real Oviedo B - Burgos Promesas	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Burgos Promesas - Langreo	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Burgos Promesas - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.03.23	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	0:2
06.11.22	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	0:4

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