Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.38	3.05	2.78
	2.5	3.15	2.88
	2.44	3.13	2.85
	2.38	2.98	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	2.83 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
37.8%

Draw
29.9%

Valladolid B
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergantiños's form might have worsened.

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valladolid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergantiños, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergantiños - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Pena 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Saez M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Bergantiños has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valladolid B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bergantiños may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valladolid B has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Bergantiños - Estradense	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWL
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Real Oviedo B - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Valladolid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Valladolid B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	3:2
03.11.24	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	1:0
19.02.23	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	2:0
02.10.22	Bergantiños - Valladolid B	0:1

Upcoming Matches