Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Bergantiños		Escobedo

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2.07	3.2	3.3
	2.12	3.37	3.35
	2.08	3.31	3.27	Watch
	2.02	3.22	3.61
	2.07	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.91)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	3.37 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
44.7%

Draw
28.2%

Escobedo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Bergantiños - Escobedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
35', Vazquez K. 🟥,
41', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Fito ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Pena G. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Fontan E. ⚽,
56', 1 - 4, Cagigal A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Escobedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bergantiños - Langreo	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Bergantiños - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLTW
- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.25	Escobedo - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Avilés - Escobedo	4:3 ✺
05.04.25	Escobedo - Guijuelo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Rayo Cantabria - Escobedo	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Escobedo - Numancia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Escobedo - Bergantiños	1:1

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