Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Bergantiños		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.15
	1.72	3.73	4.59
	1.70	3.28	5.02	Watch
	1.71	3.34	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)	4.6 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
53.2%

Draw
26.8%

Atlético Astorga
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético Astorga (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Astorga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Bergantiños is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Astorga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bergantiños is a strong favorite.

We predict that Bergantiños will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Bergantiños - Langreo	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	4:2 ✺
12.10.25	Coruxo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.11.25	Atlético Astorga - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Langreo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLLT

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