Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lealtad		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.4
	2.24	3.15	3.03	Watch
	2.19	2.99	3.25
	2.16	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.24)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	3.23 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
42.3%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Astorga
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Lealtad - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Fofana B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Ribeiro A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Lealtad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Astorga is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lealtad will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lealtad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Lealtad	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lealtad - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Valladolid B - Lealtad	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Real Ávila - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Langreo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.04.16	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	1:1
13.12.15	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:0
14.02.15	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	6:2
28.09.14	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:1

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