The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Cantabria 41.4%
Draw 29.4%
Bergantiños 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
28.2%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Saez M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Argos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Martinez D. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Rayo Cantabria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bergantiños is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rayo Cantabria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Rayo Cantabria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rayo Cantabria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Cantabria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Bergantiños - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.