Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.72	2.72
	2.84	2.74	2.86
	2.52	3.00	2.76	Watch
	2.67	2.93	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.52)	2.85 ↓ (3)	2.79 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
34.6%

Draw
32.4%

UD Ourense
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Atlético Astorga - UD Ourense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlético Astorga (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Atlético Astorga (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Astorga (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Sanchez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Escobar Hernandez J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent form of Atlético Astorga has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UD Ourense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Langreo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTL
- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.25	UD Ourense - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	UD Ourense - Pontevedra	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Coruxo - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	UD Ourense - Langreo	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWT

Upcoming Matches