Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Bergnäsets		Boden

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.85	2.72
	2.17	4.25	2.31
	2.12	3.78	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.31)	3.96 ↓ (4.02)	2.6 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergnäsets
42.2%

Draw
22.9%

Boden
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

22.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

22.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergnäsets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Boden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Bergnäsets - Boden Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergnäsets won 1.

Bergnäsets is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bergnäsets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergnäsets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergnäsets AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.10.25	Täfteå - Bergnäsets	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Bergnäsets - Friska Viljor	3:4 ✺
27.09.25	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	4:4 ✺
20.09.25	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Boden City - Bergnäsets	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
04.10.25	Boden - Täfteå	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Friska Viljor - Boden	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Boden - Kiruna	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lucksta - Boden	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Boden City - Boden	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.09.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:2
13.06.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:1
09.05.25	Bergnäsets - Boden	1:0
14.09.24	Bergnäsets - Boden	0:6
12.04.24	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:0
01.10.22	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:1
17.06.22	Bergnäsets - Boden	0:3

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