Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Bergnäsets		Friska Viljor

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.8	1.95
	2.82	4.16	1.96
	25.00	5.87	1.12	Watch
	2.89	4	2.02
	2.9	4	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↑ (2.83)	4.37 ↑ (3.9)	1.79 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergnäsets
14.8%

Draw
24.8%

Friska Viljor
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

23.6%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

23.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergnäsets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergnäsets's form might have worsened.

Friska Viljor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Friska Viljor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergnäsets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Friska Viljor than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Friska Viljor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bergnäsets - Friska Viljor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, ⚽,
82', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergnäsets won 1.

Bergnäsets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Friska Viljor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bergnäsets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergnäsets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergnäsets AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.09.25	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	4:4 ✺
20.09.25	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Boden City - Bergnäsets	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bergnäsets - Täfteå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLTW
- Friska Viljor FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.09.25	Friska Viljor - Boden	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Täfteå - Friska Viljor	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	2:4 ✺
03.09.25	Friska Viljor - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Boden City - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
17.08.25	Friska Viljor - Bergnäsets	5:2
09.09.23	Friska Viljor - Bergnäsets	4:1
13.05.23	Bergnäsets - Friska Viljor	1:2
08.10.22	Bergnäsets - Friska Viljor	1:0
11.06.22	Friska Viljor - Bergnäsets	3:2
23.10.21	Bergnäsets - Friska Viljor	1:1
18.08.21	Friska Viljor - Bergnäsets	3:0

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