Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Sholing		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.45	3.65
	1.91	3.63	3.71	Watch
	1.91	3	3.6
	1.85	3.34	3.82
	1.96	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.76)	3.32 ↓ (3.9)	3.71 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sholing
48.1%

Draw
27.4%

Yate Town
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

23.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

23.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sholing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Sholing - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, McCarthy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 0, Riley-Snow B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sholing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sholing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sholing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9:12	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Sholing	4:3 ✺
27.12.25	Sholing - Basingstoke Town	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Poole Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sholing - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Wimborne Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWT
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Evesham United - Yate Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Yate Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Yate Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Yate Town - Sholing	0:0

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