Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Yate Town		Uxbridge

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.72
	2.38	3.19	2.85
	2.32	3.56	2.8	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.75
	2.3	3.24	2.79
	2.37	3.14	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.15)	3.23 ↓ (3.67)	2.79 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
39.2%

Draw
28.2%

Uxbridge
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Uxbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Yate Town - Uxbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ollis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Ollis J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Yate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 5.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Sholing - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Evesham United - Yate Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Yate Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWLL
- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
20.01.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Uxbridge - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Dorchester Town - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Uxbridge - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.11.25	Uxbridge - Yate Town	1:3

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