Match Info

efbet League - Round 17

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kirov T. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	12:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Slovenia	11:30	SportKlub 2


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	12	Watch
	1.22	5.5	11	Watch
	1.23	5.96	13.46
	1.27	5.29	10.82	Watch
	1.25	5.48	12	Watch
	1.27	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	5.54 ↑ (4.8)	11.71 ↑ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
75.2%

Draw
16.9%

Beroe Stara Zagora
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

19.2%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

18%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Beroe (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sheytanov D. (G) 2. Medina D. 88. Traore A. 4. Hoffmann A. 22. Gasevic O. 34. Vitanov P. 10. Tsonev B. 11. Rusev G. (C) 20. Sobrero B. 77. Franco E. 93. Diallo M.	99. Quintero V. (G) 25. Johny 24. Gavrilov S. (C) 4. Costantini F. 27. Dabo A. 23. Sonha T. 7. Pineda J. 11. Ferrer I. 21. Salido Tajero A. 10. Nene 15. Alarcon F.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 3. Carrion J. 67. Frederic 96. Grivic D. 94. Iliev A. 8. Magnin Y. 99. Marques L. 17. Martines J.	5. Caio Lopes 22. Georgiev M. 12. Georgiev M. 13. Georgiev S. (G) 2. Longinotti V. 8. Masogo A. 18. Rusenov S. 9. Valbuena Y. 16. Yovkov S.
Coaches
Stoyanov I.	Uribe J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Diallo M. (Pen),
45', 1 - 1, Salido Tajero A. ⚽, Nene (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Tsonev B. 🟨,
55', Nene ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
61', Sonha T. ↓, Yovkov S. ↑,
64', Franco E. ↓, Frederic ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Tsonev B. ⚽, Sobrero B. (A),
74', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
74', Gasevic O. ↓, Carrion J. ↑,
78', Alarcon F. ↓, Valbuena Y. ↑,
78', Johny ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
89', Tsonev B. ↓, Magnin Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 1.

CSKA 1948 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beroe has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Beroe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.11.25	Arda Kardzhali - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Botev Vratsa - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
30.10.25	Yantra Gabrovo - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.10.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Vitosha Bistritsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.10.25	CSKA Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.07.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
11.04.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:0
03.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:1
31.03.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1
Bulgarian Cup
07.12.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.09.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0
18.03.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3

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