Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Gostivar (Gostivar)


	Besa Dobërdoll		Vardar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.05	3.2	3.35
	2.13	3.28	2.91
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	2.12	3.2	3.19
	2.05	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.45)	3.2 ↓ (3.92)	3.25 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besa Dobërdoll
43.9%

Draw
28.3%

Vardar
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besa Dobërdoll has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Besa Dobërdoll's form might have worsened.

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vardar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Dobërdoll than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Besa Dobërdoll, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vardar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vardar: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Zahov K. (G) 9. Ademi I. 5. Alimi A. (C) 10. Esati D. 15. Fetai I. 4. Ljamalari A. 11. Ljatifi A. 6. Neziri M. 3. Rexhepi A. 8. Selmani R. 29. Siljanovski G.	1. Velkovski M. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 2. Cosic D. 7. Dongmo D. 16. Doshev G. 25. Gjurkovski A. 21. Jonus R. 18. Mishkovski N. (C) 9. Omeragikj A. 30. Sharkoski N. 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
23. Aleksovski F. 66. Ali H. 34. Beljulji M. 24. Draganovic A. 77. Nuredini J. 22. Rakipi O. 14. Samake A. 1. Siljanovski D. (G) 19. Skenderi E. 90. Talovic D. 21. Velija B.	14. Cvetkov G. 11. Dianessy D. 23. Duranski F. 87. Gacevski F. (G) 3. Kim S. 90. Mecinovic J. 8. Micevski D. 20. Nikolovski K. 22. Velkovski D. 17. Zdravkovski O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Esati D. ⚽,
14', Neziri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gjurkovski A. ↓, Micevski D. ↑,
46', Micevski D. 🟨,
60', Esati D. ↓, Skenderi E. ↑,
60', Ljatifi A. ↓, Rakipi O. ↑,
61', Jonus R. ↓, Dianessy D. ↑,
68', Dianessy D. 🟨,
71', Sharkoski N. ↓, Kim S. ↑,
72', Bosancic N. 🟨,
72', Ademi I. ↓, Talovic D. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Omeragikj A. ⚽, Dianessy D. (A),
77', 2 - 1, Fetai I. ⚽,
82', Alimi A. 🟨,
85', Siljanovski G. ↓, Samake A. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besa Dobërdoll
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.10.24	Gostivar - Besa Dobërdoll	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Voska Sport	1:0 ✺
25.09.24	Shkupi - Besa Dobërdoll	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Pelister	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	AP Brera Strumica - Besa Dobërdoll	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTLL
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.10.24	Vardar - Struga	1:4 ✺
29.09.24	Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar	4:0 ✺
25.09.24	Vardar - Sileks	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Tikveš - Vardar	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Gostivar - Vardar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian Cup
20.09.23	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	1:2 penalties
North Macedonian 2 MFL
08.04.23	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	2:1
16.10.22	Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0
23.04.22	Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0
07.12.21	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	0:1

Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide