Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 19

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Besat Kermanshah		Navad Urmia

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.72	4.67	Watch
	1.96	2.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.57)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)	4.64 ↑ (3.01)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besat Kermanshah
46.5%

Draw
33.8%

Navad Urmia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

34.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besat Kermanshah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Besat Kermanshah's performance.

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navad Urmia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besat Kermanshah than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Besat Kermanshah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navad Urmia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Besat Kermanshah has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Navad Urmia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Besat Kermanshah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Besat Kermanshah	4	2	1	1	5:2	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besat Kermanshah FC
Iran Division 1
20.01.26	Shahrdari Noshahr - Besat Kermanshah	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Besat Kermanshah	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Besat Kermanshah - Palayesh Naft	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Fard Alborz - Besat Kermanshah	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Besat Kermanshah - Ario Eslamshahr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTT
- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
21.01.26	Navad Urmia - Niroye Zamini	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Navad Urmia - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLT

Besat Kermanshah - Navad Urmia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide