Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Besiktas Park (Istanbul)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Beşiktaş		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.90	Watch
	2.10	3.70	3.20
	2.10	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3.78	3.19
	2.24	3.54	2.99	Watch
	2.09	3.70	3.00
	2.13	3.68	3.21	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.75)	3.63 ↓ (3.66)	3.09 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
43.9%

Draw
25.8%

Midtjylland
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beşiktaş's form might have worsened.

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Midtjylland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.7%	8.7%	45.7%

Beşiktaş - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 21 - 48.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 33.9% – 63.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Midtjylland (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 50%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nubel A. (G) 62. Murillo M. 35. Djalo T. 53. Topcu E. 33. Yilmaz R. 6. Ozcan S. 18. Cerny V. 15. Olaitan J. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 29. Fakili I. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu	1. Olafsson E. (G) 5. Kristensen R. (C) 3. Lee Han-Beom 22. Sorensen M. B. 55. Bak V. 8. Billing P. 19. Bravo P. 20. Byskov V. 11. Osorio D. 90. Etim F. 7. Franculino
Substitutes
12. Agbadou E. 80. Alemdar D. (G) 70. Bircan A. S. 22. Bulut T. 65. Gursel C. 5. Hadziahmetovic A. 23. Hekimoglu M. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 90. Kilicsoy S. 11. Ouattara K. 7. Rashica M. 52. Sahin D.	25. Bakker N. (G) 15. Beni D. 21. Castillo D. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 38. Emefile J. 6. Erlic M. 13. Gabriel A. 18. Iheanacho S. 27. Johannesen S. 34. Ndiaye A. 31. Selin L. (G) 29. Watjen K.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Tullberg M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Etim F. 🟥,
18', Byskov V. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Kokcu O. ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Franculino ↓, Erlic M. ↑,
63', Osorio D. ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
63', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
63', Fakili I. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
73', Ozcan S. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
73', Yilmaz R. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
78', Djalo T. ↓, Agbadou E. ↑,
83', Castillo D. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Midtjylland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Beşiktaş may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Beşiktaş will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Besiktas: 4.09%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Beşiktaş - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.31%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Beşiktaş	3:2 ✺
14.07.26	Dynamo Malženice - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Mosonmagyaróvár - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
02.07.26	Beşiktaş - Gyirmót	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.05.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Beşiktaş	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTTWT
- FC Midtjylland
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Midtjylland - OB Odense	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	Cardiff City - Midtjylland	0:6 ✺
04.07.26	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	4:2 ✺
26.06.26	Malmö - Midtjylland	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Midtjylland - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTW

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