Match Info

Date: 3 November 2020, Tuesday


	Midtjylland		Ajax

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.5	1.66
	4.4	4.5	1.67
	4.75	4.7	1.67
	4.5	4.3	1.68
	4.99	4.32	1.69
	4.6	4.33	1.65
	4.9	4.55	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (5.01)	4.46 ↑ (4.17)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
20.8%

Draw
21.6%

Ajax
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

13.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22%	5.2%	72.9%

Midtjylland - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 291 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 64 - 22%). Ajax will win (votes: 212 - 72.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 67.8% – 78%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Midtjylland has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajax has a chance of round of 16 (41%), has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Midtjylland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajax is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ajax is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
31.10.20	Nordsjælland - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Liverpool - Midtjylland	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
24.10.20	Brøndby - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Midtjylland - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
Danish Superliga
17.10.20	Midtjylland - OB Odense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.20	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Atalanta - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
24.10.20	VVV-Venlo - Ajax	0:13 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Ajax - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	Ajax - Heerenveen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLW

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