Match Info
Premier League - Round 22Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday
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Bidco United |
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Mara Sugar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.82 |
3.05 |
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 |
2.31 |
2.93 |
3.02 |
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 |
2.23 |
2.93 |
3.3 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.75 |
3 |
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 |
2.32 |
2.89 |
3.09 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.85 |
2.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.86) |
2.86 ↓
(2.93) |
2.98 ↑
(2.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bidco United
38% | Draw
31.6% | Mara Sugar
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bidco United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bidco United's performance.Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mara Sugar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bidco United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mara Sugar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Bidco United - Mara Sugar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 0, Ngala H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', 1 - 1, Wafula D. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 2, Mwavali K. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 12).Bidco United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Mara Sugar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Bidco United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 24.10.25 | Mara Sugar - Bidco United | 0:0 | | 16.03.25 | Mara Sugar - Bidco United | 0:0 | | 03.11.24 | Bidco United - Mara Sugar | 0:2 |
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