Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		Bidco United

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.52	2.58
	2.93	2.51	2.83	Watch
	3.3	2.4	2.4
	3.4	2.68	2.42
	3.2	2.42	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.34)	2.51 ↓ (2.79)	2.57 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
28.5%

Draw
36.2%

Bidco United
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muranga Seal's form might have worsened.

Bidco United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bidco United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muranga Seal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bidco United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Muranga Seal - Bidco United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Osama P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Akite C. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Imbiakha J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Muranga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bidco United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Muranga has had a series of away games.

Muranga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Muranga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Muranga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Muranga Seal - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.26	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
22.12.25	Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal	1:3 ✺
18.12.25	Muranga Seal - Police FC	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi United - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWWWT
- Bidco United
Kenyan Premier League
09.01.26	Sofapaka - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
18.12.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bidco United - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shabana - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Muranga Seal - Bidco United	1:1
12.01.25	Bidco United - Muranga Seal	0:0
17.02.24	Muranga Seal - Bidco United	1:0
22.10.23	Bidco United - Muranga Seal	0:0

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