Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Bidezarra		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.35	1.65
	5.54	3.53	1.6
	4.30	3.29	1.84	Watch
	5	3.25	1.62
	5.5	3.4	1.6
	5.5	3.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (3.64)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidezarra
17.8%

Draw
26.9%

Peña Sport
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

24.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidezarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bidezarra's form might have worsened.

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Sport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidezarra than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bidezarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Bidezarra - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,
86', 🟥,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Peña Sport might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bidezarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Bidezarra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Bidezarra	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bidezarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
31.01.26	Egüés - Bidezarra	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bidezarra - Huarte	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cortes - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Oberena - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bidezarra - Izarra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLLT
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pamplona - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Peña Sport - Artajonés	5:2 ✺
04.01.26	Subiza - Peña Sport	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.02.24	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	1:2
07.10.23	Peña Sport - Bidezarra	2:2

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