Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Cortes		Bidezarra

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.88	4.25
	1.93	2.91	4.47
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.84	2.82	4.93
	1.83	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	2.9 ↓ (2.98)	4.47 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
48.5%

Draw
31.2%

Bidezarra
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

30.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bidezarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidezarra than the current prediction. (-1%)

Cortes - Bidezarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Cortes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bidezarra has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cortes is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cortes will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4
16	Bidezarra	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pamplona - Cortes	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Artajonés - Cortes	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Cortes - Subiza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWL
- FC Bidezarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.01.26	Oberena - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bidezarra - Izarra	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aoiz - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Txantrea - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Bidezarra - Pamplona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
06.09.25	Bidezarra - Cortes	0:1
10.05.25	Bidezarra - Cortes	1:1
11.01.25	Cortes - Bidezarra	3:1
09.03.24	Bidezarra - Cortes	2:2
21.10.23	Cortes - Bidezarra	1:1

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