Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 13

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Biggleswade Town		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.55	3.3	2.47
	2.58	3.65	2.48
	2.57	3.25	2.42
	2.55	3.3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.44)	3.36 ↓ (3.42)	2.46 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
35.9%

Draw
27.1%

Banbury United
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.6%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

24.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biggleswade Town's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biggleswade Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Biggleswade Town - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Fleming T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, Gordon-Hutton J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Biggleswade Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Banbury will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:23 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Biggleswade Town won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.24	St Ives Town - Biggleswade Town	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
08.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Alfreton Town	0:6 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Marlow - Biggleswade Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Bishops Stortford - Biggleswade Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLLWW
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
19.10.24	Spalding United - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Banbury United - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Banbury United - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Banbury United	3:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Stratford Town - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.02.22	Banbury United - Biggleswade Town	4:0
18.12.21	Biggleswade Town - Banbury United	0:2
19.10.19	Banbury United - Biggleswade Town	3:2
23.03.19	Banbury United - Biggleswade Town	1:2
13.10.18	Biggleswade Town - Banbury United	0:0
English Southern Premier League
07.04.18	Banbury United - Biggleswade Town	1:1
23.12.17	Biggleswade Town - Banbury United	1:1

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